LSN : Foresight Masterclass Series 2 : Module 12 Hindsight Bias and Expert Usage

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 1 - New Foresight Frameworks

How emerging polycrises have changed strategic foresight and why we need more bipartisan forecasting methodologies to cope

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 2 - The Preparedness Mindset

Why preparing for tomorrow requires us to reframe our foresight terminology and embrace anticipatory but precautionary approaches to foresight, rat...

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 3 Decoding Known Unknowns

When unknowable events can be anticipated by examining what isn’t there and how absence can be a used as a key component to imagine tomorrow.

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 4 Hindsight Frameworks

How and why all strategic foresight frameworks should survey the past and use the many insights that sit within it to better inform and drive tomor...

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 5 Refusing Tomorrow

How denial plays a key part in blunting our ability to effectively forecast tomorrow and why we fail to recognise its presence until it’s too late.

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 6 Long View Thinking

Why business decision-makers embrace a short-termist approach to forecasting when current challenges require long-game, long-path frameworks and so...

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 7 Long View Thinking

Denial may prevent us from anticipating tomorrow, but if we harness it skilfully it can become a very powerful strategic foresight tool.

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 8 Embracing the Bias Trap

Why biases are damaging, but when we openly understand and discuss them they can become a powerful and relevant part of the forecasting process.

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 9 Foresight Leadership Techniques

The role foresight leadership plays in future certainty; tracking foresight thinking; and understanding and embracing the eight characteristics of ...

Masterclass

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 10 Cobras, Swerves and the ‘Why’ Factor

Understanding and avoiding the Cobra Effect; embracing a dynamic systems approach to foresight; and considering the ‘why’ of every forecast as well...

Masterclass

Module 12 Hindsight Bias and Expert Usage

Understanding the role bias plays in building forecasts; using expert interviews to challenge our thinking; noting how unintended consequences can adversely affect and redirect our forecast assumptions.

By Martin Raymond

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 1 - New Foresight Frameworks

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 2 - The Preparedness Mindset

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 3 Decoding Known Unknowns

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 4 Hindsight Frameworks

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 5 Refusing Tomorrow

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 6 Long View Thinking

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 7 Long View Thinking

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 8 Embracing the Bias Trap

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 9 Foresight Leadership Techniques

Foresight Masterclass Series 2

Module 10 Cobras, Swerves and the ‘Why’ Factor

Module 12 Hindsight Bias and Expert Usage

Understanding the role bias plays in building forecasts; using expert interviews to challenge our thinking; noting how unintended consequences can adversely affect and redirect our forecast assumptions.

By Martin Raymond

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