Module 3 Decoding Known Unknowns

In series one, we discussed the role that unknowability plays in the forecasting process, but unknowability doesn’t prevent us from executing a forecast.  

By recognising gaps and understanding the three natures of unknowability – Known Unknowns, Unknown Knowns and Unknown Unknowns – we can begin a process of ‘cultural infilling’ or ‘mosaic-mapping’ that allows us to use what we know, what we don’t know and what remains unknown to develop a workable thesis. 

But, as we shall see, forecasts also need to take concepts such as entanglement into account in terms of how events such as Covid or climate change can lead to trends like Blue Zone Living, Residential Retail or Work States Futures, that are complex by-products of an original event.  

DOWNLOAD MODULE PDF

The Foresight ManifestoView/Download

The Reluctant FuturistsView/Download

Back to the F**kture PodcastView 

Test yourself     Start test